Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Marte vs Santa Tecla

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Flores C. N.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Chevez D.
(Penalty)
53'
Palma J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2022/2023 game between Atletico Marte and Santa Tecla finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Marte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico Marte
20%
Draws
40%
Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Tecla come out ahead of Atletico Marte on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Marte taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Atletico Marte Clean Sheet 68%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Marte Santa Tecla
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 5 6
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.96 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2023 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs Santa Tecla
2:1
Feb 11, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Atletico Marte
0:0
Oct 13, 2022 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Atletico Marte
2:0
Sep 24, 2022 Primera Division
Atletico Marte vs Santa Tecla
3:2
Apr 24, 2022 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Atletico Marte
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Marte Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Santa Tecla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Marte 86 / 100
Santa Tecla 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Marte Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Marte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Marte scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Santa Tecla has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: Santa Tecla registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santa Tecla
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Marte

(Home)
13 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Chalatenango
07 May
Atletico Marte
1 : 2
Aguila
29 Apr
Jocoro
3 : 3
Atletico Marte
26 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 0
Atletico Marte
23 Apr
Atletico Marte
2 : 3
Platense Municipal
Page 1 of 6

Santa Tecla

(Away)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 22 15 4 3 34:14 49
2 Alianza FC 22 10 9 3 32:15 39
3 11 Deportivo 22 7 10 5 23:17 31
4 Dragon 22 8 6 8 23:21 30
5 Luis Angel Firpo 22 6 11 5 20:17 29
6 Metapan 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 FAS 22 7 6 9 24:26 27
8 Jocoro 22 8 3 11 25:36 27
9 Santa Tecla 22 6 7 9 26:29 25
10 Chalatenango 22 7 4 11 27:39 25
11 Atletico Marte 22 5 8 9 25:31 23
12 Platense Municipal 22 5 6 11 24:39 21
Promotion - Primera Division 2022/2023 (Clausura - Play Offs)