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Atletico Melilla vs Guadix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Atletico Melilla and Guadix finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Melilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atletico Melilla
15%
Draws
85%
Guadix
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guadix come out ahead of Atletico Melilla on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guadix's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atletico Melilla Clean Sheet 16%
Guadix Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Melilla Guadix
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 0 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 26 20
Goals Scored 0.4 1.15
Goals Conceded 3.57 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Atletico Melilla vs Guadix
3:2
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Atletico Melilla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Melilla 10 / 100
Guadix 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Melilla Guadix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadix Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Guadix conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Guadix lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Melilla scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Melilla VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Melilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Melilla
0 : 3
Pinatar
26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0
Atletico Melilla
04 Oct
Atletico Palma del Rio
5 : 0
Atletico Melilla
27 Sept
Atletico Melilla
0 : 5
Atletico Palma del Rio
12 May
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
10 : 0
Atletico Melilla
Page 1 of 6

Guadix

(Away)
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1
Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3
Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1
Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2
El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0
Guadix
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linares 38 27 7 4 88:26 88
2 Malaga B 38 23 6 9 69:36 75
3 UD San Pedro 38 21 10 7 65:35 73
4 Martos 38 22 5 11 66:42 71
5 Loja 38 20 9 9 55:36 69
6 Huetor Tajar 38 17 11 10 53:37 62
7 Los Villares 38 15 13 10 43:37 58
8 Maracena 38 16 9 13 66:52 57
9 Guadix 38 11 18 9 49:49 51
10 Mancha 38 13 11 14 36:34 50
11 Velez 38 13 10 15 49:47 49
12 Espanol Alquian 38 14 6 18 53:70 48
13 Ejido 38 13 8 17 55:75 47
14 CD Ronda 38 12 7 19 52:63 43
15 Antequera 38 10 12 16 51:55 42
16 Alhaurin 38 11 8 19 43:74 41
17 Atarfe Industrial 38 9 10 19 53:70 37
18 Villacarrillo 38 8 7 23 32:64 31
19 Atletico Melilla 38 7 9 22 29:58 30
20 Los Molinos CF 38 6 8 24 32:79 26
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)