Sport Picks

Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

Atletico-MG

2 - 1

Ceara

Our Tip

Match Events

31'

Richard

32'

Sub

Richard In: Bruno Ferreira

Out: Richard

33'

Preciado A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Atletico-MG

35%

Draws

20%

Ceara

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Atletico-MG lately — more wins on the board than Ceara.
Atletico-MG are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Atletico-MG have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 68%

Ceara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico-MG	Ceara
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	9
Draws	5	9
Losses	9	11
Goals Scored	0.75	0.63
Goals Conceded	0.25	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil

Ceara vs Atletico-MG

2:2

Apr 23, 2026 Copa Betano do Brasil

Atletico-MG vs Ceara

2:1

Oct 25, 2025 Serie A Betano

Atletico-MG vs Ceara

1:0

Jun 1, 2025 Serie A Betano

Ceara vs Atletico-MG

0:1

Oct 9, 2022 Serie A Betano

Atletico-MG vs Ceara

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Cassierra M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lodi R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Ceara Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendel Silva

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG 68 / 100

Ceara 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico-MG Ceara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Atletico-MG remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ceara let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Atletico-MG scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG VS Ceara

0.75 Goals Scored 0.63

0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25

25% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG

(Home)

04 Aug

EC Juventude

0 : 1

Atletico-MG

01 Aug

Atletico-MG

0 : 0

EC Juventude

26 Jul

Palmeiras

1 : 2

Atletico-MG

21 Jul

Atletico-MG

1 : 1

Bahia

31 May

Vasco

0 : 1

Atletico-MG

Page 1 of 6

Ceara

(Away)

26 Jul

Sao Bernardo

3 : 4

Ceara

22 Jul

Ceara

0 : 1

CRB

17 Jul

America MG

1 : 1

Ceara

13 Jul

Ceara

0 : 0

Athletic Club

04 Jul

Goias

2 : 0

Ceara

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Portuguesa -

TBD -

AE Altos -

Avai -

TBD -

Porto Vitoria -

Paysandu PA -

TBD -

Portuguesa RJ -

TBD -

Maracana -

TBD -

Vasco -

Capital FC -

TBD -

Manaus FC -

Londrina -

TBD -

SC Penedense -

Betim FC 1

Piaui 0

TBD -

Operario-PR -

Juazeirense -

TBD -

Capital -

TBD -

Fluminense -

Sampaio Correa FE 1

Desportiva Ferroviaria 2

TBD -

Sport Recife -

Anapolis -

TBD -

Cianorte -

Rio Branco ES -

TBD -

Athletic Club -

Ypiranga FC -

TBD -

Ji-Parana 2

Pantanal 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Ivinhema 1

Independente AP 0

TBD -

Volta Redonda -

America RN -

TBD -

Gremio Atletico Sampaio -

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -

TBD -

America MG -

TBD -

America de Propria 1

Tirol 2

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vasco da Gama AC 1

Velo Clube 2

TBD -

Vila Nova FC -

ASA -

TBD -

Operario MS -

Confianca -

TBD -

Tombense -

TBD -

Oratorio -

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Operario VG -

TBD -

Porto Velho -

Atletico GO -

TBD -

Primavera AC 2

Bragantino PA 1

Ponte Preta -

TBD -

SER Caxias do Sul -

TBD -

Guarany de Bage -

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville -

TBD -

CSA -

Sao Bernardo -

TBD -

Alagoinhas -

Sao Luiz -

TBD -

Maranhao -

Ceara -

TBD -

Araguaina 0

Primavera EC 3

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso -

TBD -

Tocantinopolis -

EC Juventude -

TBD -

Galvez 1

Guapore 2

Bare 0

Madureira 3

TBD -

ABC -

Aguia De Maraba -

TBD -

Independencia Futebol Clube -

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Boavista -

TBD -

Maringa FC -

Retro -

TBD -

Uberlandia -

Gama 2

Monte Roraima 0

TBD -

Goias -

Trem -

TBD -

Fluminense-PI -

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 2

IAPE 0

TBD -

Cuiaba -

Ceilandia -

TBD -

Jacuipense -

Mixto -

TBD -

Botafogo PB -

Novorizontino -

TBD -

Nacional-AM (Manaus) -

Castanhal -

TBD -

Guarani -

Nova Iguacu -

TBD -

Lagarto -

Manauara -

TBD -

Itabaiana -

Fortaleza -

TBD -

Maguary 1

Laguna RN 0

Santa Cruz -

TBD -

Sousa -

CRB -

TBD -

Porto-BA 2

Serra Branca 1

Imperatriz -

TBD -

Amazonas -

Figueirense -

TBD -

Azuriz -

1/128-finals

Portuguesa 5

AE Altos 1

Avai 3

Porto Vitoria 0

Paysandu PA -

TBD -

Portuguesa RJ 1

Maracana 0

TBD -

Vasco -

Capital FC 1

Manaus FC 2

Londrina 1

SC Penedense 0

Betim FC 0

Operario-PR 2

Juazeirense 1

Capital 2

TBD -

Fluminense -

Desportiva Ferroviaria 0

Sport Recife 1

Anapolis 3

Cianorte 1

Rio Branco ES 1

Athletic Club 2

Ypiranga FC 2

Ji-Parana 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Ivinhema 2

Volta Redonda 4

America RN 3

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) -

TBD -

America MG 2

Tirol 1

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Velo Clube 0

Vila Nova FC 1

ASA 1

Operario MS 2

Confianca -

TBD -

Tombense 2

Oratorio 1

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Operario VG 1

Porto Velho 2

Atletico GO 1

Primavera AC 0

Ponte Preta -

TBD -

SER Caxias do Sul 0

Guarany de Bage 1

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville 1

CSA 0

Sao Bernardo 2

Alagoinhas 0

Sao Luiz 0

Maranhao 1

Ceara 2

Primavera EC 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso 4

Tocantinopolis 1

EC Juventude 5

Guapore 0

Madureira 1

ABC 0

Aguia De Maraba 2

Independencia Futebol Clube 0

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Boavista 2

Maringa FC 3

Retro 1

Uberlandia 2

Gama 2

Goias 3

Trem 0

Fluminense-PI 1

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 2

Cuiaba 1

Ceilandia 1

Jacuipense 2

Mixto 2

Botafogo PB 1

Novorizontino 4

Nacional-AM (Manaus) 0

Castanhal 2

Guarani 1

Nova Iguacu 2

Lagarto 1

Manauara 3

Itabaiana 1

Fortaleza 4

Maguary 3

Santa Cruz 0

Sousa 1

CRB 6

Porto-BA 0

Imperatriz 0

Amazonas 3

Figueirense 1

Azuriz 0

1/64-finals

Portuguesa 2

Avai 1

Paysandu PA 3

Portuguesa RJ 1

TBD -

Vasco -

Manaus FC 0

Londrina 1

Operario-PR 2

Capital 0

TBD -

Fluminense -

Sport Recife 2

Anapolis 1

Athletic Club 2

Ypiranga FC 0

TBD -

Internacional -

Volta Redonda 1

America RN 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1

America MG 0

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC 2

Operario MS 1

Confianca 2

Tombense 0

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Porto Velho 0

Atletico GO 1

Ponte Preta 1

Guarany de Bage 0

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Joinville 0

Sao Bernardo 1

Maranhao 0

Ceara 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

Tuna Luso 1

EC Juventude 2

Madureira 0

Aguia De Maraba 1

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Maringa FC 3

Uberlandia 2

Goias 3

Fluminense-PI 0

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Santa Catarina 0

Jacuipense 1

Mixto 0

Novorizontino 3

Castanhal 0

Nova Iguacu 4

Manauara 0

Fortaleza 1

Sousa 0

CRB 2

Amazonas 0

Figueirense 1

1/32-finals

Portuguesa 2

Paysandu PA 3

TBD -

Vasco -

Londrina 0

Operario-PR 1

TBD -

Fluminense -

Sport Recife 1

Athletic Club 3

TBD -

Internacional -

Volta Redonda 0

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 1

TBD -

Corinthians -

Bragantino -

TBD -

Mirassol -

Gremio -

TBD -

Vila Nova FC 0

Confianca 1

Athletico-PR -

TBD -

Atletico GO 1

Ponte Preta 0

Flamengo RJ -

TBD -

Vitoria -

Atletico-MG -

TBD -

Sao Bernardo 0

Ceara 1

Sao Paulo -

TBD -

EC Juventude 3

Aguia De Maraba 0

Santos -

TBD -

Coritiba -

Bahia -

TBD -

Remo -

Botafogo RJ -

TBD -

Chapecoense-SC -

Maringa FC 0

Goias 1

TBD -

Cruzeiro -

Palmeiras -

TBD -

Jacuipense 1

Novorizontino 0

Nova Iguacu 0

Fortaleza 1

CRB 1

Figueirense 0

1/16-finals

Paysandu PA 2

Vasco 4

Operario-PR 1

Fluminense 2

Athletic Club 3

Internacional 5

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 0

Corinthians 2

Bragantino 2

Mirassol 3

Gremio 5

Confianca 0

Athletico-PR 1

Atletico GO 0

Flamengo RJ 2

Vitoria 3

Atletico-MG 4

Ceara 3

Sao Paulo 2

EC Juventude 3

Santos 2

Coritiba 0

Bahia 2

Remo 5

Botafogo RJ 1

Chapecoense-SC 2

Goias 2

Cruzeiro 3

Palmeiras 7

Jacuipense 1

Fortaleza 2

CRB 1

1/8-finals

Vasco 3

Fluminense 1

Internacional 2

Corinthians 0

Mirassol 1

Gremio 2

Athletico-PR 2

Vitoria 0

Atletico-MG 1

EC Juventude 0

Santos 1

Remo 0

Chapecoense-SC 0

Cruzeiro 2

Palmeiras 5

Fortaleza 3

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Atletico-MG vs Ceara

Brazil

Atletico-MG

Ceara

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Atletico-MG Compare

Ceara Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG

Ceara

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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