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Atletico-MG W vs Ariquemes W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women 2023 Mineirão
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Dulcia
20'
Nayra Pimentinha
26' Event
Franca S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Atletico-MG W in this Brasileiro Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico-MG W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico-MG W
6%
Draws
4%
Ariquemes W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico-MG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico-MG W have won more games recently than Ariquemes W.
  • Win probability leans Atletico-MG W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 68%
Ariquemes W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG W Ariquemes W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 3.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Ariquemes W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Emily Assis
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pavi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.98
Avg xA / game 1.94

Ariquemes W Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG W 95 / 100
Ariquemes W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG W Ariquemes W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico-MG W scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Ariquemes W conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletico-MG W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG W VS -
3.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W15121253:837
2Palmeiras W15112248:1435
3Ferroviaria W15111338:1634
4Santos W15102332:1032
5CR Flamengo W15101423:1431
6Internacional W1591525:1628
7Sao Paulo W1574427:1325
8Cruzeiro W1564536:2622
9Gremio W1561816:2219
10Avai Kindermann W1561825:3319
11Real Brasilia W1552816:2417
12Atletico-MG W1551917:2316
13Bahia W15411025:3313
14Athletico-PR W15311115:3310
15Ariquemes W15301210:549
16Ceara W1501147:741