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Atletico-MG W vs Botafogo RJ W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women MRV Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Barraca
19'
Michelle
20' Event
Pimenta

AI Match Summary

Atletico-MG W in this Brasileiro Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico-MG W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico-MG W
6%
Draws
4%
Botafogo RJ W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico-MG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Botafogo RJ W haven't matched Atletico-MG W's recent run of results.
  • Atletico-MG W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo RJ W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG W Botafogo RJ W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Botafogo RJ W
2:0
Apr 19, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Atletico-MG W vs Botafogo RJ W
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Botafogo RJ W vs Atletico-MG W
1:1
Nov 9, 2020 Brasileiro A2 Women
Botafogo RJ W vs Atletico-MG W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimenta
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isadora Freitas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Botafogo RJ W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG W 95 / 100
Botafogo RJ W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG W Botafogo RJ W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico-MG W scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Botafogo RJ W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Atletico-MG W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG W VS Botafogo RJ W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16America Mineiro W121386:256
17Botafogo RJ W111287:225
18Vitoria W110387:283