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Stadium Background

Atletico-MG W vs Gremio W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes, Nova Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Anny Maraba
53'
Day Silva
59'
Sub
Gisele In: Brenda Woch
Out: Gisele

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Atletico-MG W and Gremio W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico-MG W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atletico-MG W
30%
Draws
31%
Gremio W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico-MG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico-MG W haven't matched Gremio W's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 68%
Gremio W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG W Gremio W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.29 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Gremio W
2:0
Jun 27, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Gremio W
1:2
Mar 6, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Atletico-MG W
2:1
Mar 19, 2022 Brasileiro Women
Gremio W vs Atletico-MG W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Anny Maraba
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amalia
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Gremio W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG W 41 / 100
Gremio W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG W Gremio W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-MG W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Atletico-MG W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Gremio W conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG W VS Gremio W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG W

(Home)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 6

Gremio W

(Away)
03 Oct
Gremio W
0 : 0
Internacional W
27 Sept
Gremio W
13 : 0
Forquetense W
20 Sept
Brasil de Farroupilha W
0 : 3
Gremio W
05 Sept
Sao Paulo W
2 : 0
Gremio W
29 Aug
Gremio W
0 : 0
Sao Paulo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)