Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico-MG W vs Vitoria W

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil Women
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Pimenta
8' Event
Mari Pires
55' Event
Pimenta

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atletico-MG W
15%
Draws
46%
Vitoria W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria W haven't matched Atletico-MG W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Atletico-MG W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico-MG W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG W Vitoria W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 2.34 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Atletico-MG W vs Vitoria W
3:1
Mar 27, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Vitoria W vs Atletico-MG W
0:3
Jul 5, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Vitoria W vs Atletico-MG W
1:1
Jun 23, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Atletico-MG W vs Vitoria W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimenta
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thalita
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Vitoria W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mari Pires
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG W 10 / 100
Vitoria W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG W Vitoria W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-MG W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vitoria W conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Atletico-MG W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG W VS Vitoria W
1.13 Goals Scored 3.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG W

(Home)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria W

(Away)
26 Sept
Vitoria W
10 : 0
CFFB W
19 Sept
Vitoria W
13 : 0
Camacariense W
12 Sept
Jequie W
0 : 6
Vitoria W
05 Sept
Vitoria W
3 : 0
Galicia W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Fluminense W -
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Minas Brasilia W -
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Vila Nova FC W -
Cruzeiro W -
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Penarol W -
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Alagoinhas W -
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Doce Mel W -
Perolas Negras W -
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Pantanal W 1
Sao Joao PI W 2
Ipojuca W -
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Remo W -
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CR Flamengo W -
Taubate W -
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3B da Amazonia W -
Mixto W -
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Acao W -
Botafogo RJ W -
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EC Juventude W -
Guarani de Paripueira W -
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Sao Jose W -
Prosperidade W -
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Brasil de Farroupilha W -
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Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
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UD Alagoana W -
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Paraiso EC W -
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Ypiranga AP W -
Palmeiras W -
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Corinthians W -
Atletico-MG W -
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Cresspom W -
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Juventude W -
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Vitoria W -
Galvez W -
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Uniao RN W -
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Atletico-PI W -
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Santos W -
Sampaio Correa W 3
Portuguesa AP W 2
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Várzea Grande EC W -
Sao Raimundo RR W -
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Heips W -
Coritiba W -
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Mixto PB W -
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Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W -
Internacional W -
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Gremio W -
Vasco W -
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Araguari W -
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Itapuense W -
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America Mineiro W -
Rolim de Moura W -
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Mauaense W -
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Itacoatiara W -
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Sao Paulo W -
Realidade Jovem W -
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Itabirito W -
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Ceara W -
Sport Recife W -
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Criciuma W -
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R4 EC W -
Tiradentes PA W -
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Planalto EC W -
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Paysandu PA W -
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Bahia W -
1/64-finals
Fluminense W -
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Minas Brasilia W -
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Vila Nova FC W -
Cruzeiro W -
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Penarol W -
Alagoinhas W -
TBD -
Doce Mel W -
Perolas Negras W 1
Sao Joao PI W 2
Ipojuca W 2
Remo W 1
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CR Flamengo W -
Taubate W -
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3B da Amazonia W -
Mixto W -
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Acao W -
Botafogo RJ W -
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EC Juventude W -
Guarani de Paripueira W 3
Sao Jose W 4
Prosperidade W 1
Brasil de Farroupilha W 0
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Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
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UD Alagoana W -
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Paraiso EC W 1
Ypiranga AP W 2
Palmeiras W -
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Corinthians W -
Atletico-MG W -
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Cresspom W 0
Juventude W 1
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Vitoria W -
Galvez W 1
Uniao RN W 5
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Atletico-PI W -
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Santos W -
Sampaio Correa W 2
Várzea Grande EC W 1
Sao Raimundo RR W 0
Heips W 1
Coritiba W 1
Mixto PB W 0
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Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W -
Internacional W -
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Gremio W -
Vasco W -
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Araguari W 5
Itapuense W 2
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America Mineiro W -
Rolim de Moura W 1
Mauaense W 2
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Itacoatiara W -
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Sao Paulo W -
Realidade Jovem W 1
Itabirito W 2
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Ceara W -
Sport Recife W -
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Criciuma W 1
R4 EC W 0
Tiradentes PA W 2
Planalto EC W 4
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Paysandu PA W -
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Bahia W -
1/32-finals
Fluminense W -
TBD -
Minas Brasilia W 1
Vila Nova FC W 0
Cruzeiro W -
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Penarol W 1
Doce Mel W 2
Sao Joao PI W 7
Ipojuca W 0
TBD -
CR Flamengo W -
Taubate W 0
3B da Amazonia W 1
Mixto W 0
Acao W 1
Botafogo RJ W -
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EC Juventude W -
Sao Jose W 2
Prosperidade W 1
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Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
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UD Alagoana W 4
Ypiranga AP W 1
Palmeiras W -
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Corinthians W -
Atletico-MG W -
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Juventude W 2
Vitoria W 3
Uniao RN W 0
Atletico-PI W 1
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Santos W -
Sampaio Correa W 2
Heips W 3
Coritiba W 3
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 1
Internacional W -
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Gremio W -
Vasco W 5
Araguari W 1
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America Mineiro W -
Mauaense W 3
Itacoatiara W 0
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Sao Paulo W -
Itabirito W 2
Ceara W 0
Sport Recife W 3
Criciuma W 0
Planalto EC W 2
Paysandu PA W 1
TBD -
Bahia W -
1/16-finals
Fluminense W 2
Minas Brasilia W 0
Cruzeiro W 5
Doce Mel W 0
Sao Joao PI W 0
CR Flamengo W 2
3B da Amazonia W 2
Acao W 0
Botafogo RJ W 3
EC Juventude W 0
Sao Jose W 1
Bragantino W 4
Ferroviaria W 8
UD Alagoana W 0
Palmeiras W 0
Corinthians W 1
Atletico-MG W 3
Vitoria W 1
Atletico-PI W 2
Santos W 1
Heips W 0
Coritiba W 2
Internacional W 1
Gremio W 0
Vasco W 1
America Mineiro W 0
Mauaense W 0
Sao Paulo W 3
Itabirito W 2
Sport Recife W 1
Planalto EC W 0
Bahia W 1
1/8-finals
Fluminense W 2
Cruzeiro W 1
CR Flamengo W 1
3B da Amazonia W 0
Botafogo RJ W 0
Bragantino W 2
Ferroviaria W 1
Corinthians W 0
Atletico-MG W 2
Atletico-PI W 1
Coritiba W 0
Internacional W 1
Vasco W 0
Sao Paulo W 1
Itabirito W 0
Bahia W 1
Quarter-finals
Fluminense W -
CR Flamengo W -
Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
Atletico-MG W -
Internacional W -
Sao Paulo W -
Bahia W -
Semi-finals
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Final
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