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Atletico Mineros vs Cayon CD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Saras J.
8' Event
Fernandez R.
53' Event
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 game between Atletico Mineros and Cayon CD finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Atletico Mineros
15%
Draws
53%
Cayon CD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cayon CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cayon CD come out ahead of Atletico Mineros on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cayon CD's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cayon CD here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Atletico Mineros Clean Sheet 10%
Cayon CD Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Mineros Cayon CD
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Mineros vs Cayon CD
0:2
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Mineros vs Cayon CD
2:2
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Cayon CD vs Atletico Mineros
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Mineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Saras J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villanueva A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Cayon CD Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Mineros 10 / 100
Cayon CD 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Mineros Cayon CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cayon CD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Atletico Mineros scored in 52% of their last 29 games.

Cayon CD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Atletico Mineros stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Mineros VS Cayon CD
0.67 Goals Scored 2
1.83 Goals Conceded 1.25
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Mineros

(Home)
03 Oct
Atletico Mineros
0 : 4
UD Samano
27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2
Atletico Mineros
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2
Cayon CD
13 Sept
CD Revilla
4 : 0
Atletico Mineros
06 Sept
Atletico Mineros
2 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 6

Cayon CD

(Away)
03 Oct
Velarde
0 : 1
Cayon CD
27 Sept
Cayon CD
1 : 1
UD Samano
19 Sept
Atletico Mineros
0 : 2
Cayon CD
12 Sept
Guarnizo
0 : 1
Cayon CD
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Samano 34 20 10 4 52:22 70
2 CD Tropezon 34 20 7 7 58:30 67
3 Atletico Albericia 34 19 7 8 64:39 64
4 Cayon CD 34 19 5 10 61:41 62
5 Castro 34 16 11 7 45:26 59
6 Vimenor 34 17 6 11 63:42 57
7 Bezana 34 15 9 10 46:41 54
8 Torina 34 14 8 12 49:44 50
9 CD Barquereno 34 13 10 11 60:59 49
10 Guarnizo 34 11 15 8 44:37 48
11 CD Revilla 34 12 6 16 46:53 42
12 CD Colindres 34 9 9 16 36:53 36
13 Gama 34 9 9 16 34:56 36
14 Atletico Mineros 34 9 8 17 33:58 35
15 Barreda Balompie 34 8 10 16 49:65 34
16 Naval Reinosa 34 9 6 19 40:59 33
17 CD Siete Villas 34 7 7 20 29:53 28
18 CD Monte 34 5 5 24 33:64 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2024/2025 (Play Offs)