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Atletico Monzon vs CD Caspe

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Bernardez P.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Monzon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Monzon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Atletico Monzon
20%
Draws
23%
CD Caspe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Monzon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Caspe haven't matched Atletico Monzon's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Monzon taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Atletico Monzon Clean Sheet 20%
CD Caspe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Monzon CD Caspe
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 24 13
Draws 3 10
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 2.12 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs CD Caspe
1:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Atletico Monzon
3:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Caspe vs Atletico Monzon
0:1
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs CD Caspe
1:3
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs CD Caspe
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Monzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

CD Caspe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Monzon 40 / 100
CD Caspe 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Monzon CD Caspe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Monzon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Monzon scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Atletico Monzon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CD Caspe's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Monzon VS CD Caspe
2.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Monzon

(Home)
07 Jun
CD Cuarte
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
30 May
Atletico Monzon
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
10 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 7

CD Caspe

(Away)
24 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 1
CD Caspe
17 May
CD Caspe
1 : 1
CD Cuarte
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
CD Caspe
1 : 2
Tamarite
26 Apr
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
CD Caspe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)