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Atletico MT vs Paulistano FC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Mon, Apr 29, 2024
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico MT host Paulistano FC in the Matogrossense 2 2024. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Atletico MT at 0.5 goals for, 2.75 against; Paulistano FC at 0.13 for, 1.88 against. Head-to-head, Atletico MT have won 0 to Paulistano FC's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.19 - 1.44) back Paulistano FC to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico MT
6%
Draws
90%
Paulistano FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paulistano FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Atletico MT at 0.5 per game, Paulistano FC at 0.13.
  • Paulistano FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Atletico MT Clean Sheet 16%
Paulistano FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico MT Paulistano FC
Matches Played 12 5
Wins 0 0
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 0.5 0.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Atletico MT vs Paulistano FC
0:0
Apr 29, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Atletico MT vs Paulistano FC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico MT 10 / 100
Paulistano FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico MT Paulistano FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paulistano FC has conceded goals in 60% of their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Paulistano FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Atletico MT scored in 42% of their last 12 outings.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atletico MT VS Paulistano FC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rondonopolis EC532019:511
2Acao43019:69
3Pocone42117:47
4Várzea Grande EC41126:74
5Atletico MT40040:100
6Paulistano FC10010:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sinop FC54108:313
2Gremio Sorriso53208:311
3Caceres52126:67
4Sport Sinop52036:66
5Campo Novo51046:103
6Santa Cruz MT51043:93