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Atletico MT vs Pocone

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pocone in this Matogrossense 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pocone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Atletico MT
35%
Draws
49%
Pocone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pocone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pocone lately — more wins on the board than Atletico MT.
  • Win probability leans Pocone's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atletico MT Clean Sheet 10%
Pocone Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico MT Pocone
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 0 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.58 1.21
Goals Conceded 3.08 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Atletico MT vs Pocone
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico MT 10 / 100
Pocone 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico MT Pocone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pocone Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pocone let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Atletico MT scored in 42% of their last 12 outings.

Atletico MT went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico MT VS Pocone
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico MT

(Home)
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
09 May
Cacerense
3 : 0
Atletico MT
27 Apr
Atletico MT
0 : 0
Paulistano FC
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
06 Jul
Santa Cruz MT
3 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 3

Pocone

(Away)
23 Jun
Pocone
1 : 2
Sport Sinop
16 Jun
Sport Sinop
2 : 2
Pocone
08 Jun
Gremio Sorriso
1 : 3
Pocone
02 Jun
Pocone
0 : 0
Gremio Sorriso
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rondonopolis EC 5 3 2 0 19:5 11
2 Acao 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
3 Pocone 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
4 Várzea Grande EC 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
5 Atletico MT 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
6 Paulistano FC 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Gremio Sorriso 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
3 Caceres 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
4 Sport Sinop 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
5 Campo Novo 5 1 0 4 6:10 3
6 Santa Cruz MT 5 1 0 4 3:9 3
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 2024 (Play Offs)