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Atletico Ottawa vs Forge FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kozlovskiy S.
Own Goal
23' Event
Gutierrez D.
35' Event
Jevremovic M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atletico Ottawa
30%
Draws
37%
Forge FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Ottawa haven't matched Forge FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Forge FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Forge FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Forge FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 11%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ottawa Forge FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.73 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Atletico Ottawa
2:3
Nov 1, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Forge FC
2:2
Oct 17, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Forge FC
1:2
Sep 12, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Atletico Ottawa
3:0
May 24, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Forge FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tabla B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jevremovic M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ottawa 22 / 100
Forge FC 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ottawa Forge FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forge FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Ottawa scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Forge FC conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Atletico Ottawa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ottawa VS Forge FC
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ottawa

(Home)
07 Nov
Forge FC
2 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
01 Nov
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 2
Forge FC
25 Oct
Inter Toronto
2 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
17 Oct
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 2
Forge FC
11 Oct
Pacific FC
0 : 2
Atletico Ottawa
Page 1 of 6

Forge FC

(Away)
07 Nov
Forge FC
2 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
01 Nov
Atletico Ottawa
2 : 2
Forge FC
25 Oct
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
21 Oct
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Forge FC
17 Oct
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 2
Forge FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Cavalry 3
Supra du Quebec 2
Forge FC 4
Atletico Ottawa 5
Final
Cavalry -
Atletico Ottawa -