Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group F 2014/2015

Electrico FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Ouriense play Electrico FC in the Campeonato Nacional - Group F 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Ouriense averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Electrico FC averaged 1.19 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Ouriense won 2, Electrico FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 11, 2015 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Atletico Ouriense and 1.24 for Electrico FC. This points to a Electrico FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Atletico Ouriense

15%

Draws

48%

Electrico FC

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Electrico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Atletico Ouriense picked up more points recently compared to Electrico FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 67%

Over 3.5 Goals 40%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Atletico Ouriense Clean Sheet 19%

Electrico FC Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Ouriense	Electrico FC
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	5	8
Draws	3	5
Losses	22	23
Goals Scored	0.87	1.19
Goals Conceded	2.5	2.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F

Atletico Ouriense vs Electrico FC

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Feb 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F

Electrico FC vs Atletico Ouriense

Possession: 53% - 43% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Jan 18, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F

Atletico Ouriense vs Electrico FC

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Nov 9, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F

Electrico FC vs Atletico Ouriense

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ouriense 37 / 100

Electrico FC 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Ouriense Electrico FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Electrico FC or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.9%

1.64

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Ouriense attacking → ← attacking Electrico FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ouriense scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Electrico FC let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Atletico Ouriense went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Electrico FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 29

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Caldas SC	18	10	6	2	32:14	36
2	Mafra	18	11	3	4	28:12	36
3	Leiria	18	10	3	5	31:20	33
4	Sertanense	18	8	7	3	27:19	31
5	Electrico FC	18	7	8	3	22:14	29
6	Torreense	18	7	7	4	18:13	28
7	Alcanenense	18	7	2	9	26:26	23
8	Fatima	18	3	8	7	19:27	17
9	Riachense	18	1	4	13	16:43	7
10	Atletico Ouriense	18	1	2	15	11:42	5