Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Paraense vs Itupiranga

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Paraense in this Paraense A2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Paraense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Atletico Paraense
35%
Draws
30%
Itupiranga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Paraense lately — more wins on the board than Itupiranga.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Atletico Paraense Clean Sheet 20%
Itupiranga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Paraense Itupiranga
Matches Played 13 31
Wins 10 7
Draws 1 12
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 2.15 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Paraense A2
Itupiranga vs Atletico Paraense
4:1
May 2, 2026 Paraense A2
Atletico Paraense vs Itupiranga
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Paraense 32 / 100
Itupiranga 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Paraense Itupiranga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itupiranga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Paraense's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Itupiranga has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico Paraense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Paraense VS Itupiranga
3.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Paraense

(Home)
23 May
Itupiranga
4 : 1
Atletico Paraense
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
02 May
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Itupiranga
25 Apr
Carajas
0 : 0
Atletico Paraense
25 Nov
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 3

Itupiranga

(Away)
21 Jun
Izabelense
0 : 0
Itupiranga
14 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 2
Izabelense
07 Jun
Independente
0 : 0
Itupiranga
04 Jun
Itupiranga
1 : 0
Independente
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)