Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Paso vs Arucas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Lopez A.
85' Event
Iglesias A.
90' Event
Gutierrez M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Atletico Paso and Arucas finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Paso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Atletico Paso
35%
Draws
30%
Arucas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Paso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atletico Paso a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 20%
Arucas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Paso Arucas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 12 11
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 1.43 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.53 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Arucas
3:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Atletico Paso
1:0
Jan 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Atletico Paso
2:2
Sep 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Arucas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Paso Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iglesias A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Arucas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Paso 49 / 100
Arucas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Paso Arucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Paso scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Arucas has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Paso has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Paso VS Arucas
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Paso

(Home)
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0
Atletico Paso
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Las Palmas C
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1
Telde
Page 1 of 6

Arucas

(Away)
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)