Sport Picks
Match Events
54'
54'
Corral S.
86'
86'
Tahri M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mensajero
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atletico Paso haven't matched Mensajero's recent run of results.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 20%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Paso | Mensajero |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.66 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Mensajero
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Atletico Paso
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Mensajero vs Atletico Paso
0:2
Aug 15, 2024 Club Friendly
Atletico Paso vs Mensajero
3:0
Mar 3, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atletico Paso vs Mensajero
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Paso Compare
Top Goalscorer Corral S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Mensajero Compare
Top Goalscorer Tahri M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Paso 36 / 100
Mensajero 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Paso Mensajero
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mensajero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Paso's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Atletico Paso went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Mensajero let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Paso VS Mensajero
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Paso
(Home) 03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0 Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2 Atletico Paso
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0 Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2 Numancia
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0 Real Madrid C
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1 Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2 Numancia
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0 Las Palmas C
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1 Telde
Page 1 of 3
Mensajero
(Away) 03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2 Mensajero
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0 San Miguel
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0 Mensajero
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0 Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2 Murcia
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2 Mensajero
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0 Mensajero
16 May
Tamaraceite
2 : 0 Mensajero
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1 Mensajero
19 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
1 : 0 Mensajero
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
