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Atletico Paso vs Real Avila - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Paso host Real Avila in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. Little to choose between these two on current form. Atletico Paso have averaged 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Real Avila's 1.36 scored and 1.54 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.38, favoring Atletico Paso. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Atletico Paso
30%
Draws
41%
Real Avila
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Avila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Avila lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Paso.
  • Model gives Atletico Paso a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 17%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Paso Real Avila
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 12 3
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Paso 41 / 100
Real Avila 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Paso Real Avila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Paso scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Real Avila has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Atletico Paso remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Real Avila's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Paso VS Real Avila
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Paso

(Home)
11 Oct
CF Talavera
2 : 1
Atletico Paso
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2
Atletico Paso
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6

Real Avila

(Away)
11 Oct
Real Avila
1 : 1
Numancia
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0
Real Avila
27 Sept
Real Avila
1 : 0
Getafe B
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Conquense 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
2 Atl. Madrid C 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
3 Numancia 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
4 Salamanca CF UDS 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 CF Talavera 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
6 Valladolid Promesas 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
7 San Sebastian Reyes 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
8 Guadalajara 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
9 Gimnastica Segoviana 6 2 2 2 12:11 8
10 Navalcarnero 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 RSD Alcala 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 Real Avila 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
13 Atletico Tordesillas 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
14 Atletico Paso 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
15 Puertollano C.F. 6 1 2 3 2:8 5
16 Albacete B 6 1 2 3 7:19 5
17 Real Madrid C 6 0 4 2 1:4 4
18 Getafe B 6 0 3 3 4:9 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)