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Atletico Paso vs San Bartolome

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Lopez A.
35' Event
Lopez A.
76' Event
Iglesias A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Atletico Paso and San Bartolome finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Paso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Atletico Paso
35%
Draws
55%
San Bartolome
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Bartolome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Paso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • San Bartolome are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 20%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Paso San Bartolome
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 14 13
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.29 1
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs San Bartolome
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Atletico Paso
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Paso Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Iglesias A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

San Bartolome Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Paso 16 / 100
San Bartolome 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Paso San Bartolome

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Bartolome Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Paso scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

San Bartolome has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Atletico Paso went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Paso VS San Bartolome
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Paso

(Home)
27 Sept
Albacete B
2 : 2
Atletico Paso
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0
Atletico Paso
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San Bartolome

(Away)
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Bartolome
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)