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Atletico PE vs Afogados da Ingazeira

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Pernambucano 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Caxito

AI Match Summary

Afogados da Ingazeira in this Campeonato Pernambucano 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afogados da Ingazeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico PE
6%
Draws
90%
Afogados da Ingazeira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afogados da Ingazeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Afogados da Ingazeira lately — more wins on the board than Atletico PE.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Afogados da Ingazeira taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Pernambucano 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Atletico PE Clean Sheet 10%
Afogados da Ingazeira Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico PE Afogados da Ingazeira
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 3.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs Afogados da Ingazeira
1:2
Mar 1, 2017 Pernambucano
Atletico PE vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:1
Feb 8, 2017 Pernambucano
Afogados da Ingazeira vs Atletico PE
5:1
Jan 4, 2017 Pernambucano
Atletico PE vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:0
Sep 7, 2014 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs Afogados da Ingazeira
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico PE Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Afogados da Ingazeira Compare

Top Goalscorer Caxito
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico PE 10 / 100
Afogados da Ingazeira 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico PE Afogados da Ingazeira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afogados da Ingazeira's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Atletico PE scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Afogados da Ingazeira has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico PE VS Afogados da Ingazeira
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
3.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%