Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico PE vs Flamengo Arcoverde

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Pernambucano 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Gomes Vieira J.
8' Event
Alaf
11' Event
Silva L.

AI Match Summary

Flamengo Arcoverde in this Campeonato Pernambucano 2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Flamengo Arcoverde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico PE
6%
Draws
90%
Flamengo Arcoverde
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Flamengo Arcoverde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Flamengo Arcoverde have won more games recently than Atletico PE.
  • Model gives Flamengo Arcoverde a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Pernambucano 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Flamengo Arcoverde have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Atletico PE Clean Sheet 10%
Flamengo Arcoverde Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico PE Flamengo Arcoverde
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 4 1
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs Flamengo Arcoverde
0:1
Mar 5, 2017 Pernambucano
Atletico PE vs Flamengo Arcoverde
2:6
Feb 5, 2017 Pernambucano
Flamengo Arcoverde vs Atletico PE
1:0
Jan 22, 2017 Pernambucano
Flamengo Arcoverde vs Atletico PE
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico PE Compare

Top Goalscorer George C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Flamengo Arcoverde Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gomes Vieira J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico PE 10 / 100
Flamengo Arcoverde 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico PE Flamengo Arcoverde

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Flamengo Arcoverde has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Away concern: Flamengo Arcoverde has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Atletico PE scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico PE VS Flamengo Arcoverde
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%