Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Pinto vs El Alamo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Pinto in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Pinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atletico Pinto
20%
Draws
29%
El Alamo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Pinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Pinto lately — more wins on the board than El Alamo.
  • Model gives Atletico Pinto a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Atletico Pinto Clean Sheet 68%
El Alamo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Pinto El Alamo
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.13 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atletico Pinto vs El Alamo
3:1
Nov 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Atletico Pinto
2:0
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Atletico Pinto
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atletico Pinto vs El Alamo
2:1
Feb 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
El Alamo vs Atletico Pinto
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Pinto 77 / 100
El Alamo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Pinto El Alamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Pinto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

El Alamo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 37 matches.

Atletico Pinto found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Atletico Pinto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS El Alamo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Pinto

(Home)
28 Aug
AD Alcala
1 : 2
Atletico Pinto
20 Jun
AD Alcala
0 : 0
Atletico Pinto
16 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
1 : 3
Atletico Pinto
13 Jun
Atletico Pinto
1 : 2
RSD Alcala
02 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 1
Atletico Pinto
Page 1 of 6

El Alamo

(Away)
11 May
El Alamo
3 : 1
Trival Valderas
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
El Alamo
0 : 1
Mexico
20 Apr
Parla
1 : 0
El Alamo
13 Apr
El Alamo
2 : 2
Villaverde San Andres
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Adarve 22 13 5 4 41:17 44
2 Moratalaz 22 11 7 4 36:20 40
3 Rayo Vallecano B 22 10 8 4 35:27 38
4 Pozuelo de Alarcon 22 11 5 6 33:20 38
5 Flat Earth FC 22 9 6 7 19:18 33
6 AD Torrejon 22 7 11 4 32:17 32
7 AD Alcala 22 8 6 8 22:22 30
8 RSD Alcala 22 6 10 6 20:16 28
9 Paracuellos Antamira 22 6 8 8 18:27 26
10 Villanueva del Pardillo CF 22 5 4 13 14:28 19
11 San Fernando de Henares 22 4 6 12 18:36 18
12 Santa Ana 22 2 4 16 11:51 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leganes B 20 15 5 0 34:12 50
2 CD Mostoles 20 13 5 2 28:11 44
3 Alcorcon B 20 9 7 4 32:15 34
4 Parla 20 7 7 6 20:20 28
5 Carabanchel 20 5 9 6 18:20 24
6 Atletico Pinto 20 7 3 10 20:30 24
7 Trival Valderas 20 5 8 7 15:21 23
8 Villaverde San Andres 20 6 3 11 18:29 21
9 El Alamo 20 3 7 10 24:33 16
10 Mostoles CF 20 3 6 11 15:26 15
11 Real Aranjuez 20 3 6 11 19:32 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)