Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2021

Atletico Porteno

2 - 1

Cumbaya

Our Tip

Match Events

Espinola C.

(Penalty)

25'

Chillambo J.

84'

Mero E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Porteno in this Serie B 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Porteno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Atletico Porteno

28%

Draws

50%

Cumbaya

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cumbaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Cumbaya have won more games recently than Atletico Porteno.
Model gives Cumbaya a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 4 times recently and Cumbaya have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 21%

Cumbaya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Porteno	Cumbaya
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	10	12
Draws	4	10
Losses	16	10
Goals Scored	0	1.13
Goals Conceded	0	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Cumbaya

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Aug 11, 2021 Serie B

Cumbaya vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Jun 17, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Cumbaya

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 2 - 4

1:2

May 5, 2021 Serie B

Cumbaya vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Chillambo J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mero E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Cumbaya Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Porteno 24 / 100

Cumbaya 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Porteno Cumbaya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUM Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Porteno found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Cumbaya has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Atletico Porteno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cumbaya

0 Goals Scored 1.13

0 Goals Conceded 1.75

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cumbaya	36	20	7	9	47:36	67
2	Gualaceo	36	17	9	10	46:31	60
3	EL Nacional	36	16	11	9	49:36	59
4	Chacaritas	36	12	13	11	35:34	49
5	America de Quito	36	10	17	9	41:33	47
6	Buhos ULVR	36	14	5	17	41:53	47
7	Independiente Juniors	36	11	10	15	45:46	43
8	Atletico Santo Domingo	36	10	12	14	37:44	42
9	Atletico Porteno	36	11	6	19	46:64	39
10	LDU Portoviejo	36	9	10	17	42:52	37