Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2021

Atletico Porteno

2 - 1

Independiente Juniors

Our Tip

Match Events

Mero E.

(Penalty)

41'

Mero E.

45'

Simisterra R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Porteno in this Serie B 2021 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Porteno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Atletico Porteno

33%

Draws

40%

Independiente Juniors

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Independiente Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Atletico Porteno haven't matched Independiente Juniors's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Independiente Juniors's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 19%

Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Porteno	Independiente Juniors
Matches Played	30	46
Wins	10	22
Draws	4	12
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2021 Serie B

Independiente Juniors vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

2:3

Aug 4, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Independiente Juniors

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Jun 21, 2021 Serie B

Independiente Juniors vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 58% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

May 14, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Independiente Juniors

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

1:4

Nov 14, 2020 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Independiente Juniors

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Mero E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Independiente Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Simisterra R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Porteno 28 / 100

Independiente Juniors 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Porteno Independiente Juniors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Porteno scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Independiente Juniors let in goals in 61% of their last 46 matches.

Solid form: Atletico Porteno remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Independiente Juniors

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cumbaya	36	20	7	9	47:36	67
2	Gualaceo	36	17	9	10	46:31	60
3	EL Nacional	36	16	11	9	49:36	59
4	Chacaritas	36	12	13	11	35:34	49
5	America de Quito	36	10	17	9	41:33	47
6	Buhos ULVR	36	14	5	17	41:53	47
7	Independiente Juniors	36	11	10	15	45:46	43
8	Atletico Santo Domingo	36	10	12	14	37:44	42
9	Atletico Porteno	36	11	6	19	46:64	39
10	LDU Portoviejo	36	9	10	17	42:52	37