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Atletico Porteno vs LDU Portoviejo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Carrillo R.
62' Event
Arroyo K.

AI Match Summary

LDU Portoviejo in this Serie B 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored LDU Portoviejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atletico Porteno
30%
Draws
34%
LDU Portoviejo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LDU Portoviejo lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Porteno.
  • Atletico Porteno are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie B 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 20%
LDU Portoviejo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Porteno LDU Portoviejo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2021 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs LDU Portoviejo
0:2
Jul 8, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Atletico Porteno
0:2
Jun 10, 2021 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs LDU Portoviejo
3:0
Apr 14, 2021 Serie B
LDU Portoviejo vs Atletico Porteno
1:2
Sep 29, 2019 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs LDU Portoviejo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Porteno Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

LDU Portoviejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arroyo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Porteno 36 / 100
LDU Portoviejo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Porteno LDU Portoviejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Porteno scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

LDU Portoviejo has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Atletico Porteno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS LDU Portoviejo
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cumbaya36207947:3667
2Gualaceo361791046:3160
3EL Nacional361611949:3659
4Chacaritas3612131135:3449
5America de Quito361017941:3347
6Buhos ULVR361451741:5347
7Independiente Juniors3611101545:4643
8Atletico Santo Domingo3610121437:4442
9Atletico Porteno361161946:6439
10LDU Portoviejo369101742:5237