Sport Picks
Atletico Rafal vs Formentera - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 
AI Match Summary
Formentera in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Formentera.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Formentera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Formentera lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Rafal.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Formentera taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Formentera have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 18%
Formentera Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Rafal | Formentera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Formentera
0:2
Sep 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Atletico Rafal
2:0
Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Formentera
1:2
Oct 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Formentera vs Atletico Rafal
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Rafal 10 / 100
Formentera 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Rafal Formentera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Formentera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.
Atletico Rafal scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Formentera conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: Atletico Rafal stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Formentera
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Rafal
(Home) 17 May
UD Poblense
9 : 1 Atletico Rafal
09 May
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 CD Son Cladera
03 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 0 Atletico Rafal
26 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 Mercadal
18 Apr
CD Montuiri
4 : 1 Atletico Rafal
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 CD Son Cladera
26 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 Mercadal
11 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 4 Ferriolense
28 Mar
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2 Platges de Calvia
15 Mar
Atletico Rafal
1 : 2 Constancia
Page 1 of 3
Formentera
(Away) 04 Oct
SD Ibiza
2 : 0 Formentera
27 Sept
Formentera
3 : 0 PE Sant Jordi
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0 Formentera
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1 Porreres
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1 Formentera
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
SD Ibiza
2 : 0 Formentera
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0 Formentera
05 Sept
Mercadal
1 : 1 Formentera
10 May
Llosetense
2 : 2 Formentera
26 Apr
Manacor
3 : 0 Formentera
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 90:27 | 83 |
| 2 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 75:33 | 80 |
| 3 | Formentera | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 58:27 | 80 |
| 4 | Binissalem | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 56:31 | 67 |
| 5 | Mercadal | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 55:53 | 65 |
| 6 | UD Poblense | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 7 | Alcudia | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 59:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Penya Ciutadella Esportiva | 38 | 17 | 3 | 18 | 47:51 | 54 |
| 9 | Llosetense | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54:53 | 54 |
| 10 | Manacor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 63:62 | 53 |
| 11 | Collerense | 38 | 16 | 5 | 17 | 60:60 | 53 |
| 12 | Platges de Calvia | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 41:40 | 49 |
| 13 | Campos | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 51:54 | 47 |
| 14 | Ferriolense | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 41:50 | 45 |
| 15 | Atletico Rafal | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 42:65 | 42 |
| 16 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 47:60 | 40 |
| 17 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 42:53 | 38 |
| 18 | Rotlet Molinar | 38 | 11 | 4 | 23 | 43:84 | 37 |
| 19 | Felanitx | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27:65 | 26 |
| 20 | Santanyi | 38 | 2 | 7 | 29 | 26:93 | 13 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
