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Atletico Rafal vs Llosetense

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 game between Atletico Rafal and Llosetense finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Llosetense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Atletico Rafal
30%
Draws
54%
Llosetense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Llosetense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Llosetense taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 13%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Rafal Llosetense
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 4 20
Draws 9 12
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.85
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Llosetense
0:0
Aug 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Atletico Rafal
1:0
Feb 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Atletico Rafal vs Llosetense
0:2
Sep 7, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Atletico Rafal
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rafal 10 / 100
Llosetense 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Rafal Llosetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llosetense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Llosetense conceded in 66% of 41 recent games.

Atletico Rafal's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Atletico Rafal has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Llosetense
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Rafal

(Home)
17 May
UD Poblense
9 : 1
Atletico Rafal
09 May
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2
CD Son Cladera
03 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 0
Atletico Rafal
26 Apr
Atletico Rafal
2 : 2
Mercadal
18 Apr
CD Montuiri
4 : 1
Atletico Rafal
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Llosetense

(Away)
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3
Llosetense
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 38 25 8 5 90:27 83
2 Pena Deportiva 38 24 8 6 75:33 80
3 Formentera 38 24 8 6 58:27 80
4 Binissalem 38 18 13 7 56:31 67
5 Mercadal 38 19 8 11 55:53 65
6 UD Poblense 38 17 13 8 60:35 64
7 Alcudia 38 16 12 10 59:41 60
8 Penya Ciutadella Esportiva 38 17 3 18 47:51 54
9 Llosetense 38 15 9 14 54:53 54
10 Manacor 38 14 11 13 63:62 53
11 Collerense 38 16 5 17 60:60 53
12 Platges de Calvia 38 12 13 13 41:40 49
13 Campos 38 12 11 15 51:54 47
14 Ferriolense 38 12 9 17 41:50 45
15 Atletico Rafal 38 10 12 16 42:65 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 10 10 18 47:60 40
17 CD Montuiri 38 10 8 20 42:53 38
18 Rotlet Molinar 38 11 4 23 43:84 37
19 Felanitx 38 6 8 24 27:65 26
20 Santanyi 38 2 7 29 26:93 13
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)