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Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Iranduba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Matheus Sacramento
60' Event
Oliveira L.
68' Event
Pezao

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Amazonense 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
20%
Draws
80%
Iranduba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iranduba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) lately — more wins on the board than Iranduba.
  • Win probability leans Iranduba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Amazonense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 20%
Iranduba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Iranduba
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 11 4
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.70
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2023 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Iranduba
2:2
Mar 22, 2019 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Iranduba
1:0
Feb 16, 2019 Amazonense
Iranduba vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1:1
Apr 25, 2015 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Iranduba
2:2
Mar 1, 2015 Amazonense
Iranduba vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Sacramento
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Iranduba Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pezao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
Iranduba 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Iranduba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iranduba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Iranduba conceded in 85% of 26 recent games.

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)'s goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Iranduba has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) VS Iranduba
0.63 Goals Scored 0.4
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 40%
25% Over 2.5 40%
13% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

(Home)
22 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1 : 4
Princesa do Solimoes
19 Mar
Parintins
7 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
16 Mar
Manauara
8 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
10 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
2 : 4
Sao Raimundo AM
06 Feb
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 6

Iranduba

(Away)
25 Feb
Operario Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Iranduba
18 Feb
Iranduba
0 : 1
Manaus FC
15 Feb
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
2 : 2
Iranduba
12 Feb
Iranduba
0 : 7
Amazonas
09 Feb
Iranduba
0 : 1
Parintins
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amazonas 8 6 1 1 17:3 19
2 Manauara 8 5 2 1 21:6 17
3 Princesa do Solimoes 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
4 Manaus FC 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
5 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 8 2 5 1 9:8 11
6 Parintins 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
7 Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 8 1 4 3 7:10 7
8 Operario Esporte Clube 8 0 2 6 1:14 2
9 Iranduba 8 0 3 5 4:19 3
10 Fast Clube 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2023 (Play Offs)