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Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Taruma

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 2022 game between Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) and Taruma finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
6%
Draws
90%
Taruma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Taruma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Taruma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 13%
Taruma Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Taruma
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2022 Amazonense 2
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Taruma
5:0
Sep 26, 2021 Amazonense 2
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Taruma
2:2
Apr 17, 2013 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Taruma
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
Taruma 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Taruma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taruma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) scored in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Taruma lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) VS Taruma
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)880031:224
2Unidos do Alvorada861130:719
3Parintins851237:916
4RB do Norte840421:2712
5Manicore830520:339
6Sul America830515:299
7Atletico Amazonense821518:197
8Librade820611:386
9Taruma81168:274