Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Unidos do Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) in this Amazonense 2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
6%
Draws
90%
Unidos do Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Unidos do Alvorada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Unidos do Alvorada have won more games recently than Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Unidos do Alvorada taking it.
  • Regular Amazonense 2 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 10%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Unidos do Alvorada
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2024 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Unidos do Alvorada
1:1
Aug 27, 2022 Amazonense 2
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Unidos do Alvorada
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
Unidos do Alvorada 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Unidos do Alvorada

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Unidos do Alvorada has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Unidos do Alvorada lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) VS Unidos do Alvorada
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)880031:224
2Unidos do Alvorada861130:719
3Parintins851237:916
4RB do Norte840421:2712
5Manicore830520:339
6Sul America830515:299
7Atletico Amazonense821518:197
8Librade820611:386
9Taruma81168:274