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Atletico Saguntino vs La Nucia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Magarino S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Atletico Saguntino advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Atletico Saguntino
15%
Draws
64%
La Nucia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Nucia come out ahead of Atletico Saguntino on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on La Nucia taking it.
  • La Nucia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Saguntino, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 12%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Saguntino La Nucia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.2 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs La Nucia
1:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Atletico Saguntino
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Atletico Saguntino
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs La Nucia
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Atletico Saguntino
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Saguntino Compare

Top Goalscorer Magarino S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

La Nucia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Saguntino 10 / 100
La Nucia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Saguntino La Nucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Nucia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Saguntino scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: La Nucia conceded in 37% of 30 recent games.

Atletico Saguntino went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Saguntino VS La Nucia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Saguntino

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Saguntino
3 : 2
Utiel
27 Sept
Crevillente
2 : 2
Atletico Saguntino
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4
Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 1
Villarreal C
13 Sept
Ontinyent 1931 CF
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
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La Nucia

(Away)
04 Oct
Deportiva Minera
2 : 0
La Nucia
27 Sept
La Nucia
2 : 0
Mallorca B
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Levante B 4
Villarreal C 3
Atletico Saguntino 2
La Nucia 3
Final
Levante B 1
La Nucia 2