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Atletico Saguntino vs Navalcarnero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Corceovei D.
43' Event
Peque
47' Event
Agustin P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atletico Saguntino
20%
Draws
57%
Navalcarnero
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Navalcarnero

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Navalcarnero haven't matched Atletico Saguntino's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Navalcarnero's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Atletico Saguntino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Navalcarnero, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 13%
Navalcarnero Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Saguntino Navalcarnero
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Copa Federacion
Atletico Saguntino vs Navalcarnero
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Saguntino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Navalcarnero Compare

Top Goalscorer Agustin P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Corceovei D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Saguntino 10 / 100
Navalcarnero 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Saguntino Navalcarnero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Navalcarnero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Saguntino scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Navalcarnero has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Atletico Saguntino stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Saguntino VS Navalcarnero
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Saguntino

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Saguntino
3 : 2
Utiel
27 Sept
Crevillente
2 : 2
Atletico Saguntino
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4
Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 1
Villarreal C
13 Sept
Ontinyent 1931 CF
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
Page 1 of 6

Navalcarnero

(Away)
04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3
Navalcarnero
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Murcia
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4
Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2
Navalcarnero
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao 4
Terrassa 1
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Salamanca CF UDS 2
Recreativo Huelva 2
Conil 1
Navalcarnero 3
Murcia 1
Semi-finals
Sestao -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Recreativo Huelva -
Navalcarnero -
Final
TBD -
TBD -