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Atletico Saguntino vs Rayo Ibense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Araujo A.
4' Event
Araujo A.
62' Event
Saez A.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Saguntino in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Saguntino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Atletico Saguntino
20%
Draws
16%
Rayo Ibense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Saguntino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Rayo Ibense haven't matched Atletico Saguntino's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Atletico Saguntino a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Atletico Saguntino here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Ibense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Saguntino Rayo Ibense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.33 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Rayo Ibense
4:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Atletico Saguntino
1:2
Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Rayo Ibense
4:2
Dec 7, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Atletico Saguntino
2:3
Mar 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Rayo Ibense
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Saguntino Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Rayo Ibense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Saguntino 50 / 100
Rayo Ibense 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Saguntino Rayo Ibense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Saguntino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Ibense has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Atletico Saguntino's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Rayo Ibense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Saguntino VS Rayo Ibense
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Saguntino

(Home)
04 Oct
Atletico Saguntino
3 : 2
Utiel
27 Sept
Crevillente
2 : 2
Atletico Saguntino
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4
Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 1
Villarreal C
13 Sept
Ontinyent 1931 CF
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
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Rayo Ibense

(Away)
01 Aug
Rayo Ibense
0 : 2
Alcoyano
08 May
Rayo Ibense
0 : 0
Levante B
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Rayo Ibense
0 : 1
Roda
17 Apr
Villarreal C
2 : 0
Rayo Ibense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)