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Atletico Saguntino vs Recambios Colon

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Saguntino play Recambios Colon in the Tercera RFEF - Group 6. Atletico Saguntino are favorites here. Recently, Atletico Saguntino averaged 1.41 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Recambios Colon averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Saguntino won 4, Recambios Colon won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Atletico Saguntino and 0.94 for Recambios Colon. This points to a Atletico Saguntino double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Atletico Saguntino
24%
Draws
13%
Recambios Colon
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Atletico Saguntino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Saguntino picked up more points recently compared to Recambios Colon.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 24%
Recambios Colon Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Saguntino Recambios Colon
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 2
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.41 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Recambios Colon
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Recambios Colon vs Atletico Saguntino
1:2
Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs Recambios Colon
2:2
Oct 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Recambios Colon vs Atletico Saguntino
0:1
Mar 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Recambios Colon vs Atletico Saguntino
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Saguntino Compare

Top Goalscorer Sangare M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Recambios Colon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Saguntino 62 / 100
Recambios Colon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Saguntino Recambios Colon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Saguntino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Atletico Saguntino & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.82
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Saguntino attacking → ← attacking Recambios Colon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Saguntino scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Recambios Colon let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Atletico Saguntino went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Recambios Colon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 16
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Castellonense34207756:3067
2Atletico Saguntino34206850:3066
3Levante B341811554:2665
4Villarreal C34196963:3663
5La Nucia341613544:2661
6CD Bunol3413111034:4050
7Vall de Uxo3413101131:2949
8Ontinyent 1931 CF341391232:3048
9Torrellano341381340:3847
10Soneja341361535:4245
11Hercules B3410111331:4641
12Roda341171632:4540
13Crevillente349111444:4938
14Jove341081635:4438
15Atzeneta341071729:3937
16Utiel347101730:4531
17Alzira347101732:4931
18Recambios Colon342131927:5519