Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico San Luis U21 vs Necaxa U21

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mares C.
8' Event
Rangel M.
14' Event
Dominguez Loya O. E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Atletico San Luis U21 and Necaxa U21 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico San Luis U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Atletico San Luis U21
15%
Draws
51%
Necaxa U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Necaxa U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Necaxa U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletico San Luis U21 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Atletico San Luis U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Necaxa U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico San Luis U21 Necaxa U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.55 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga MX U21
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Necaxa U21
3:2
Feb 6, 2026 Liga MX U21
Necaxa U21 vs Atletico San Luis U21
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 Liga MX U21
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Necaxa U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico San Luis U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mares C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rangel M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Necaxa U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez Loya O. E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedroza M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico San Luis U21 31 / 100
Necaxa U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico San Luis U21 Necaxa U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Necaxa U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico San Luis U21 found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Necaxa U21 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Atletico San Luis U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico San Luis U21 VS Necaxa U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico San Luis U21

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
12 Sept
Club Leon U21
3 : 2
Atletico San Luis U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
30 Aug
Monterrey U21
4 : 1
Atletico San Luis U21
23 Aug
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 0
Pachuca U21
Page 1 of 6

Necaxa U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
3 : 2
Necaxa U21
11 Sept
Necaxa U21
0 : 2
Puebla U21
05 Sept
Tigres UANL U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
28 Aug
Necaxa U21
2 : 1
Cruz Azul U21
23 Aug
UNAM Pumas U21
0 : 1
Necaxa U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon U21 9 8 0 1 18:9 21
2 Toluca U21 7 7 0 0 14:4 19
3 Club Tijuana U21 8 5 0 3 14:10 17
4 Puebla U21 8 5 0 3 10:6 16
5 Guadalajara Chivas U21 8 5 0 3 13:10 15
6 Club America U21 9 5 0 4 14:13 15
7 Pachuca U21 9 3 0 6 10:13 13
8 Monterrey U21 7 4 0 3 13:7 12
9 Cruz Azul U21 8 5 0 3 16:12 11
10 Atletico San Luis U21 9 4 0 5 15:18 11
11 Necaxa U21 9 4 0 5 10:15 11
12 Atlas U21 8 3 0 5 11:9 10
13 Juarez U21 7 4 0 3 8:8 10
14 UNAM Pumas U21 8 3 0 5 8:10 10
15 Santos Laguna U21 8 3 0 5 7:12 10
16 Atlante U21 9 3 0 6 9:16 10
17 Tigres UANL U21 9 2 0 7 8:18 8
18 Queretaro U21 8 1 0 7 6:14 3
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)