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Atletico San Luis W vs Pachuca W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Libertad Financiera, San Luis Potosí
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Cano Garcia K. L.
Own Goal
31'
Vargas F.
38'
Ohale O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women 2025/2026 game between Atletico San Luis W and Pachuca W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pachuca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Atletico San Luis W
15%
Draws
20%
Pachuca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico San Luis W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pachuca W come out ahead of Atletico San Luis W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atletico San Luis W a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Pachuca W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atletico San Luis W Clean Sheet 14%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico San Luis W Pachuca W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.6 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Pachuca W
2:1
Feb 11, 2026 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Pachuca W
0:3
Oct 6, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Atletico San Luis W
5:0
Jan 27, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Atletico San Luis W
5:0
Aug 25, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Pachuca W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico San Luis W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ihezuo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico San Luis W 84 / 100
Pachuca W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico San Luis W Pachuca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico San Luis W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Atletico San Luis W scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Pachuca W conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Atletico San Luis W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico San Luis W VS Pachuca W
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico San Luis W

(Home)
03 Oct
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
28 Sept
Tigres UANL W
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3
Santos Laguna W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 6

Pachuca W

(Away)
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)