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Atletico Santo Domingo vs Fuerza Amarilla

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2020
Sun, Nov 1, 2020
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Santo Domingo host Fuerza Amarilla in the Serie B 2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Atletico Santo Domingo have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Fuerza Amarilla's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Head-to-head, Atletico Santo Domingo have won 1 to Fuerza Amarilla's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 1.13) point toward Atletico Santo Domingo. Atletico Santo Domingo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atletico Santo Domingo
20%
Draws
38%
Fuerza Amarilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Santo Domingo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Santo Domingo come out ahead of Fuerza Amarilla on wins alone.
  • Model gives Atletico Santo Domingo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Atletico Santo Domingo Clean Sheet 20%
Fuerza Amarilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Santo Domingo Fuerza Amarilla
Matches Played 35 16
Wins 10 2
Draws 13 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2020 Serie B
Atletico Santo Domingo vs Fuerza Amarilla
0:0
Nov 1, 2020 Serie B
Atletico Santo Domingo vs Fuerza Amarilla
0:0
Sep 26, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Atletico Santo Domingo
0:0
Sep 6, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Atletico Santo Domingo
0:0
Oct 27, 2018 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Atletico Santo Domingo
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Santo Domingo 42 / 100
Fuerza Amarilla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Santo Domingo Fuerza Amarilla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Santo Domingo's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Fuerza Amarilla let in goals in 63% of their last 16 matches.

Recent resilience: Atletico Santo Domingo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 0.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Santo Domingo VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1896327:1633
2Manta1895426:1832
3America de Quito1884620:1428
4Atletico Porteno1875615:1526
5Chacaritas1858523:2623
6Gualaceo1864821:2122
7Independiente Juniors1848619:2420
8Atletico Santo Domingo1848612:1920
9Fuerza Amarilla1839614:1918
10Santa Rita1837819:2416