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Atletico SC vs Castrense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group H 2015/2016
Atletico SC Logo

Atletico SC

2 - 0
FT
Castrense Logo

Castrense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico SC in this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group H 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Atletico SC
15%
Draws
36%
Castrense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Castrense haven't matched Atletico SC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Atletico SC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group H 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Atletico SC Clean Sheet 10%
Castrense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico SC Castrense
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.1 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Atletico SC vs Castrense
1:1
Feb 14, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Castrense vs Atletico SC
1:0
Jan 23, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Atletico SC vs Castrense
2:0
Nov 8, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group H
Castrense vs Atletico SC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico SC 56 / 100
Castrense 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico SC Castrense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico SC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Castrense conceded in 76% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Castrense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico SC VS Castrense
1 Goals Scored 0.63
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico SC

(Home)
10 Sept
Atletico SC
0 : 2
CDR Quarteirense
11 Sept
Atletico SC
2 : 5
Olhanense
29 May
Atletico SC
2 : 2
Nogueirense
21 May
Nogueirense
2 : 0
Atletico SC
15 May
Atletico SC
2 : 0
Pinhalnovense
Page 1 of 6

Castrense

(Away)
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
20 Sept
Castrense
0 : 5
Lusitania FC
31 Aug
Castrense
1 : 0
CDR Quarteirense
22 Sept
Moura AC
4 : 2
Castrense
24 Sept
Castrense
0 : 3
Vila Mea
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cova De Piedade 18 10 5 3 26:13 35
2 Moura AC 18 8 5 5 25:17 29
3 Atletico SC 18 8 4 6 19:19 28
4 FC Barreirense 18 6 7 5 25:20 25
5 Lusitano VRSA 18 7 3 8 21:23 24
6 Louletano 18 7 2 9 26:25 23
7 Almancilense 18 5 7 6 16:25 22
8 Juv. Evora 18 4 8 6 21:28 20
9 Castrense 18 4 7 7 20:25 19
10 Pinhalnovense 18 4 6 8 20:24 18
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group H 2015/2016 (Relegation Group)