Sport Picks
Atletico Tordesillas vs La Virgen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
49'
49'
Diez D.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 game between Atletico Tordesillas and La Virgen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Tordesillas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Virgen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atletico Tordesillas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Atletico Tordesillas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico Tordesillas Clean Sheet 16%
La Virgen Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Tordesillas | La Virgen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.98 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs La Virgen
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Atletico Tordesillas
0:1
Apr 17, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs La Virgen
3:0
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Atletico Tordesillas
3:1
Mar 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Virgen vs Atletico Tordesillas
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Tordesillas Compare
Top Goalscorer Diez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49
La Virgen Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Tordesillas 31 / 100
La Virgen 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Tordesillas La Virgen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick La Virgen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Atletico Tordesillas scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
La Virgen has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Atletico Tordesillas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Tordesillas VS La Virgen
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.71
100% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Tordesillas
(Home) 04 Oct
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
1 : 0 Atletico Tordesillas
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2 Navalcarnero
12 Sept
Albacete B
4 : 3 Atletico Tordesillas
06 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 3 San Sebastian Reyes
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS
20 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
2 : 2 Navalcarnero
06 Sept
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 3 San Sebastian Reyes
18 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
4 : 1 Villa De Simancas
15 Aug
Atletico Tordesillas
1 : 1 Guijuelo
Page 1 of 4
La Virgen
(Away) 04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0 La Virgen
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1 Palencia CA
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1 La Virgen
12 Sept
La Virgen
4 : 1 Calasanz de Soria
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2 La Virgen
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Bembibre
2 : 0 La Virgen
19 Sept
Turegano
0 : 1 La Virgen
06 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
1 : 2 La Virgen
29 Aug
Bembibre
0 : 0 La Virgen
10 May
CD Mojados
2 : 1 La Virgen
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
