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Atletico Tordesillas vs Villaralbo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Ballo K.
66' Event
Chatun
89' Event
Castano J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 game between Atletico Tordesillas and Villaralbo finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Tordesillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atletico Tordesillas
39%
Draws
31%
Villaralbo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Tordesillas come out ahead of Villaralbo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Atletico Tordesillas Clean Sheet 68%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Tordesillas Villaralbo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Villaralbo
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Atletico Tordesillas
0:2
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas vs Villaralbo
0:0
Jan 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Atletico Tordesillas
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Atletico Tordesillas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Tordesillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Chatun
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castano J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Villaralbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballo K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Tordesillas 41 / 100
Villaralbo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Tordesillas Villaralbo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Tordesillas's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Villaralbo has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Atletico Tordesillas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Tordesillas VS Villaralbo
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Tordesillas34246462:2478
2Guijuelo34217654:2670
3Palencia CA34215848:2468
4Palencia CF342041059:3964
5Santa Marta Tormes34188853:3162
6Mansilles341512731:2757
7Almazan3412121049:3848
8Mirandes B341381343:3547
9La Virgen341281431:3744
10Villaralbo341191429:3742
11Leonesa B341261638:4342
12Arandina349101532:4637
13Colegios Diocesanos341061833:5436
14Bembibre348101638:5234
15Unionistas de Salamanca B346131532:4331
16CD Mojados347101728:5531
17Becerril34781941:6029
18Numancia B34662226:5624