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Atletico Torino vs Defensor San Alejandro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division 2014 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Atletico Torino
20%
Draws
48%
Defensor San Alejandro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Defensor San Alejandro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Torino have won more games recently than Defensor San Alejandro.
  • Atletico Torino are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atletico Torino Clean Sheet 16%
Defensor San Alejandro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Torino Defensor San Alejandro
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 13 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.24 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2014 Liga 2
Atletico Torino vs Defensor San Alejandro
0:0
Jun 1, 2014 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Atletico Torino
2:1
Sep 1, 2013 Liga 2
Defensor San Alejandro vs Atletico Torino
1:0
May 26, 2013 Liga 2
Atletico Torino vs Defensor San Alejandro
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Torino 66 / 100
Defensor San Alejandro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Torino Defensor San Alejandro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Torino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Torino's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 41 recent games.

Defensor San Alejandro has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensor San Alejandro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Torino VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Torino

(Home)
19 Oct
Tahuishco
1 : 0
Atletico Torino
12 Oct
Atletico Torino
0 : 0
Tahuishco
18 Nov
Atletico Torino
1 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
11 Nov
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 1
Atletico Torino
04 Nov
Sport Marino
2 : 0
Atletico Torino
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Defensor San Alejandro

(Away)
30 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
2 : 0
Jose Galvez
23 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 2
Defensor San Alejandro
16 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Dep. Municipal
07 Nov
Willy Serrato
3 : 0
Defensor San Alejandro
03 Nov
Defensor San Alejandro
1 : 2
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Municipal 30 18 7 5 49:29 61
2 Deportivo Coopsol 30 17 7 6 53:26 58
3 Carlos Mannucci 30 17 4 9 46:32 55
4 Alianza Huanuco 30 15 8 7 51:30 53
5 Willy Serrato 30 12 10 8 44:37 46
6 Union Huaral 30 11 7 12 38:37 40
7 Defensor San Alejandro 30 10 9 11 37:37 39
8 Atl. Minero 30 10 9 11 30:40 39
9 Atletico Torino 30 9 10 11 37:34 37
10 Pacifico 30 9 8 13 33:44 35
11 Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 30 11 6 13 36:50 35
12 Sport Boys 30 8 13 9 42:47 33
13 Sport Victoria 30 7 10 13 31:38 31
14 Comerciantes Unidos 30 7 9 14 29:36 30
15 Jose Galvez 30 7 10 13 25:39 25
16 Walter Ormeno 30 4 9 17 21:46 19
Promotion - Primera Division 2015 (Apertura)