Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023

Atletico Uri

2 - 1

Aprilia

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Fadda A.

85'

Ravot S.

88'

Grossi L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Uri in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Uri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Atletico Uri

22%

Draws

60%

Aprilia

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Aprilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Atletico Uri have won more games recently than Aprilia.
60% — that's where the model lands on Aprilia taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Atletico Uri Clean Sheet 20%

Aprilia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Uri	Aprilia
Matches Played	38	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	12	10
Losses	17	13
Goals Scored	1.13	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 Serie D - Group G

Atletico Uri vs Aprilia

Possession: 53% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

2:1

Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group G

Aprilia vs Atletico Uri

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Feb 26, 2022 Serie D - Group G

Atletico Uri vs Aprilia

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

3:1

Oct 17, 2021 Serie D - Group G

Aprilia vs Atletico Uri

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Uri Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadda A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ravot S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Aprilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Grossi L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Uri 20 / 100

Aprilia 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Uri Aprilia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick APR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Uri scored in 76% of their last 38 outings.

Aprilia has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Aprilia has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Uri VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sorrento	34	21	7	6	53:28	70
2	Paganese	34	19	11	4	56:29	68
3	Casertana	34	17	7	10	57:40	58
4	Arzachena	34	17	6	11	51:40	57
5	Lupa Frascati	34	13	11	10	44:29	50
6	Palmese 1914	34	13	10	11	50:44	49
7	Cassino	34	13	8	13	42:45	47
8	Real Monterotondo	34	12	9	13	51:55	45
9	Sarrabus Ogliastra	34	12	7	15	51:54	43
10	Tivoli Calcio	34	10	11	13	36:39	41
11	Vis Artena	34	9	14	11	24:28	41
12	Portici 1906	34	9	13	12	45:49	40
13	Angri	34	10	9	15	39:51	39
14	Atletico Uri	34	10	9	15	45:62	39
15	Ilvamaddalena	34	8	14	12	30:39	38
16	Pomezia	34	8	11	15	40:58	35
17	SS Nola 1925	34	8	11	15	44:55	35
18	Aprilia	34	8	10	16	34:47	34