Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atromitos Piraeus vs Ellopiakos

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ellopiakos in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ellopiakos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Atromitos Piraeus
15%
Draws
85%
Ellopiakos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ellopiakos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ellopiakos lately — more wins on the board than Atromitos Piraeus.
  • Win probability leans Ellopiakos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Atromitos Piraeus Clean Sheet 10%
Ellopiakos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atromitos Piraeus Ellopiakos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 1 9
Losses 26 9
Goals Scored 0.5 1.33
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Atromitos Piraeus vs Ellopiakos
1:4
Sep 17, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ellopiakos vs Atromitos Piraeus
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atromitos Piraeus 10 / 100
Ellopiakos 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atromitos Piraeus Ellopiakos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ellopiakos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ellopiakos has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Atromitos Piraeus scored in 23% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Ellopiakos registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atromitos Piraeus VS Ellopiakos
0.88 Goals Scored 1
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atromitos Piraeus

(Home)
28 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
5 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
24 Apr
Atromitos Piraeus
0 : 4
Chaidari
20 Apr
Panionios
4 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
14 Apr
Atromitos Piraeus
0 : 2
Atsalenios FC
07 Apr
Fostiras
6 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

Ellopiakos

(Away)
28 Apr
Ellopiakos
3 : 3
Ipato
24 Apr
Ellopiakos
2 : 0
Ermis Zonianon
20 Apr
Apollon Smyrnis
0 : 1
Ellopiakos
14 Apr
Ellopiakos
1 : 0
Chaidari
07 Apr
Panionios
5 : 0
Ellopiakos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)