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Atromitos vs AEK

Greece Greece

Super League Peristeri Stadium, Athens
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atromitos host AEK in the Super League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. AEK have shipped 0.78 goals a game lately, while Atromitos have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.4. Head-to-head, Atromitos have won 0 to AEK's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.69) point toward AEK. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Atromitos
30%
Draws
51%
AEK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AEK come out ahead of Atromitos on wins alone.
  • AEK are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AEK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 13%
AEK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atromitos AEK
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 19
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.4 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Atromitos vs AEK
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Atromitos
4:1
Feb 15, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Atromitos
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Super League
Atromitos vs AEK
0:1
Jan 21, 2024 Super League
Atromitos vs AEK
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atromitos 10 / 100
AEK 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atromitos AEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Atromitos found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Atromitos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

AEK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atromitos VS AEK
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atromitos

(Home)
19 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 2
Kifisia
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
02 Sept
Panserraikos
0 : 1
Atromitos
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AEK

(Away)
20 Sept
Volos
1 : 2
AEK
17 Sept
AEK
8 : 1
Panserraikos
13 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1
AEK
08 Sept
AEK
1 : 0
LASK Linz
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0
Aris
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
14 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)