Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atromitos vs AEK

Greece Greece

Super League 2025/2026 Peristeri Stadium, Athens
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Karamanis A.
33' Event
Mitoglou G.
Assist: Uronen J.
45'
Varga B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Atromitos
22%
Draws
18%
AEK
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atromitos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • AEK have won more games recently than Atromitos.
  • Atromitos are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AEK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 68%
AEK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atromitos AEK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 2.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Atromitos vs AEK
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Atromitos
4:1
Feb 15, 2025 Super League
AEK vs Atromitos
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Super League
Atromitos vs AEK
0:1
Jan 21, 2024 Super League
Atromitos vs AEK
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atromitos Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitoglou G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moutoussamy S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovic L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atromitos 68 / 100
AEK 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atromitos AEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Atromitos scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: AEK conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Atromitos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atromitos VS AEK
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atromitos

(Home)
30 Jul
Atromitos
1 : 0
Aris Limassol
21 May
Atromitos
6 : 0
Panserraikos
16 May
AEL Larissa
2 : 1
Atromitos
12 May
Kifisia
0 : 3
Atromitos
09 May
Atromitos
1 : 2
Panetolikos
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AEK

(Away)
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2
Samsunspor
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3
AEK
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
12 Jul
De Graafschap
1 : 2
AEK
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1AEK26186249:1760
2Olympiacos Piraeus26177245:1158
3PAOK26176352:1757
4Panathinaikos26147544:2649
5Levadiakos26126851:3742
6OFI Crete261021434:4532
7Volos26941326:3831
8Aris26612820:2730
9Atromitos26781126:3029
10Kifisia26691132:4227
11Panetolikos26751424:3826
12AEL Larissa264111122:3923
13Panserraikos26451716:5517
14Asteras Tripolis26381522:4117
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)