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Atromitos vs PAOK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Peristeri Stadium, Athens
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Match Events

19' Event
Nunez C.
Assist: Karamanis A.
38'
Tsakmakis D.
43' Event
Pelkas D.
Assist: Ali T.

AI Match Summary

PAOK in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored PAOK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atromitos
30%
Draws
47%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PAOK lately — more wins on the board than Atromitos.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PAOK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 19%
PAOK Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atromitos PAOK
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Greek Cup
Atromitos vs PAOK
0:1
Aug 30, 2026 Super League
Atromitos vs PAOK
1:2
Jan 6, 2026 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Atromitos
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs PAOK
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Atromitos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atromitos Compare

Top Goalscorer Nunez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Pelkas D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atromitos 32 / 100
PAOK 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atromitos PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atromitos scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

PAOK let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Atromitos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atromitos VS PAOK
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atromitos

(Home)
19 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 2
Kifisia
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
06 Sept
Atromitos
1 : 1
Kalamata
02 Sept
Panserraikos
0 : 1
Atromitos
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PAOK

(Away)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
14 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 -1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)