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Atromitos vs PAOK

Greece Greece

Super League Peristeri Stadium, Athens
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atromitos host PAOK in the Super League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. PAOK have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Atromitos have conceded 1.29 and scored 2.71. Head-to-head, Atromitos have won 1 to PAOK's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 6, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 2.10 vs 1.71, favoring PAOK. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atromitos
39%
Draws
31%
PAOK
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PAOK lately — more wins on the board than Atromitos.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PAOK have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atromitos Clean Sheet 12%
PAOK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atromitos PAOK
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2.71 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.71 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Atromitos
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Atromitos vs PAOK
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
PAOK vs Atromitos
1:0
Dec 22, 2024 Super League
PAOK vs Atromitos
3:0
Sep 1, 2024 Super League
Atromitos vs PAOK
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atromitos 29 / 100
PAOK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atromitos PAOK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atromitos scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

PAOK let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Atromitos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atromitos VS PAOK
2.71 Goals Scored 2.13
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atromitos

(Home)
21 May
Atromitos
6 : 0
Panserraikos
16 May
AEL Larissa
2 : 1
Atromitos
12 May
Kifisia
0 : 3
Atromitos
09 May
Atromitos
1 : 2
Panetolikos
02 May
Asteras Tripolis
4 : 2
Atromitos
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PAOK

(Away)
23 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 3
PAOK
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
01 Jul
PAOK
4 : 1
SK Beveren
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kalamata00000:00
2Iraklis FC00000:00
3OFI Crete00000:00
4Panathinaikos00000:00
5AEK00000:00
6Olympiacos Piraeus00000:00
7Aris00000:00
8Asteras Tripolis00000:00
9PAOK00000:00
10Levadiakos00000:00
11Atromitos00000:00
12Panetolikos00000:00
13Kifisia00000:00
14Volos00000:00
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)