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Atsalenios FC vs Fostiras

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atsalenios FC in this Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atsalenios FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Atsalenios FC
30%
Draws
31%
Fostiras
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atsalenios FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Atsalenios FC have won more games recently than Fostiras.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Atsalenios FC here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Atsalenios FC Clean Sheet 20%
Fostiras Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atsalenios FC Fostiras
Matches Played 42 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.33 0.93
Goals Conceded 1 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Atsalenios FC vs Fostiras
3:0
Oct 14, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Fostiras vs Atsalenios FC
0:2
Mar 11, 2018 Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
Atsalenios FC vs Fostiras
1:0
Dec 3, 2017 Gamma Ethniki - Group 8
Fostiras vs Atsalenios FC
1:2
Aug 22, 2009 Greek Cup
Fostiras vs Atsalenios FC
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atsalenios FC 32 / 100
Fostiras 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atsalenios FC Fostiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atsalenios FC scored in 71% of their last 42 outings.

Fostiras let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Atsalenios FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atsalenios FC VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atsalenios FC

(Home)
27 Sept
Atsalenios FC
1 : 1
Ergotelis
08 Apr
Atsalenios FC
1 : 2
AO Ilisiakos
05 Apr
Chaidari
3 : 1
Atsalenios FC
01 Apr
Atsalenios FC
0 : 0
Agias Marinas
28 Mar
Aias
0 : 1
Atsalenios FC
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Fostiras

(Away)
28 Apr
AO Proodeftiki
2 : 0
Fostiras
24 Apr
Fostiras
1 : 3
Peramaikos
20 Apr
Almyros Gaziou
1 : 0
Fostiras
14 Apr
Episkopi
2 : 2
Fostiras
07 Apr
Fostiras
6 : 0
Atromitos Piraeus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panionios 34 26 6 2 81:22 84
2 Ethnikos Piraeus 34 20 12 2 61:19 72
3 Almyros Gaziou 34 17 12 5 59:28 63
4 Aris Petroupolis 34 18 6 10 47:38 60
5 AO Ilisiakos 34 16 9 9 43:29 57
6 Ipato 34 14 9 11 45:34 51
7 Atsalenios FC 34 14 8 12 41:33 50
8 Agios Nikolaos 34 14 10 10 55:38 49
9 Chaidari 34 13 10 11 39:29 49
10 Ellopiakos 34 13 9 12 45:43 48
11 AO Proodeftiki 34 14 6 14 47:38 48
12 Apollon Smyrnis 34 10 12 12 39:37 42
13 Ermis Zonianon 34 9 10 15 36:54 37
14 Episkopi 34 9 10 15 40:54 37
15 Peramaikos 34 9 3 22 32:58 30
16 Fostiras 34 6 13 15 29:40 28
17 Paraskevi 34 5 5 24 26:82 17
18 Atromitos Piraeus 34 3 2 29 16:105 11
Promotion - Super League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Relegation Play-offs (Main)