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ATSV Erlangen vs Karlburg Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Perera G.
13' Event
Perera G.
60' Event
Markert L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 game between ATSV Erlangen and Karlburg finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ATSV Erlangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ATSV Erlangen
20%
Draws
40%
Karlburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ATSV Erlangen come out ahead of Karlburg on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on ATSV Erlangen taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 12%
Karlburg Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ATSV Erlangen Karlburg
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 3
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 1.24 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Karlburg
4:0
Aug 17, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs ATSV Erlangen
0:2
Apr 5, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Karlburg
2:0
Aug 21, 2021 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs ATSV Erlangen
1:1
May 16, 2020 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Karlburg vs ATSV Erlangen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ATSV Erlangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Perera G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Markert L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Karlburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ATSV Erlangen 83 / 100
Karlburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ATSV Erlangen Karlburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATSV Erlangen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Karlburg conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: ATSV Erlangen scored in 68% of their last 34 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Karlburg has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ATSV Erlangen VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ATSV Erlangen

(Home)
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
16 May
ATSV Erlangen
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
08 May
Regensburg II
3 : 2
ATSV Erlangen
25 Apr
Stadeln
1 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
Page 1 of 7

Karlburg

(Away)
17 May
Karlburg
0 : 4
Weiden
09 May
TSV Kornburg
6 : 1
Karlburg
02 May
Abtswind
4 : 1
Karlburg
25 Apr
Karlburg
0 : 0
ASV Neumarkt
19 Apr
Cham
2 : 0
Karlburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vfb Eichstatt 34 23 5 6 74:33 74
2 Eltersdorf 34 21 10 3 56:24 73
3 Ingolstadt II 34 20 6 8 70:46 66
4 ATSV Erlangen 34 18 8 8 52:36 62
5 Cham 34 15 10 9 60:43 55
6 Fortuna Regensburg 34 15 8 11 84:58 53
7 Weiden 34 14 8 12 47:40 50
8 TSV Kornburg 34 13 8 13 58:53 47
9 Neudrossenfeld 34 12 10 12 49:57 46
10 Wurzburger FV 34 12 10 12 50:58 46
11 Bayern Hof 34 11 10 13 43:40 43
12 ASV Neumarkt 34 13 4 17 39:49 43
13 Regensburg II 34 10 11 13 48:51 41
14 Abtswind 34 10 10 14 46:51 40
15 DJK Ammerthal 34 9 8 17 43:51 35
16 Gebenbach 34 8 11 15 52:71 35
17 Munchberg 34 5 5 24 30:83 20
18 Karlburg 34 3 6 25 30:87 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 (Relegation)