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ATSV Erlangen vs Neudrossenfeld - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between ATSV Erlangen and Neudrossenfeld finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ATSV Erlangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
ATSV Erlangen
20%
Draws
70%
Neudrossenfeld
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neudrossenfeld

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Neudrossenfeld come out ahead of ATSV Erlangen on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Neudrossenfeld's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • ATSV Erlangen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 12%
Neudrossenfeld Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ATSV Erlangen Neudrossenfeld
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Neudrossenfeld
2:1
Jul 22, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Neudrossenfeld vs ATSV Erlangen
4:5
Mar 14, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Neudrossenfeld vs ATSV Erlangen
1:2
Aug 23, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Neudrossenfeld
3:0
Apr 19, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Neudrossenfeld
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ATSV Erlangen 22 / 100
Neudrossenfeld 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ATSV Erlangen Neudrossenfeld

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neudrossenfeld Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: ATSV Erlangen scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Neudrossenfeld has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: ATSV Erlangen stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ATSV Erlangen VS Neudrossenfeld
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ATSV Erlangen

(Home)
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
16 May
ATSV Erlangen
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
08 May
Regensburg II
3 : 2
ATSV Erlangen
25 Apr
Stadeln
1 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
Page 1 of 6

Neudrossenfeld

(Away)
03 Oct
DJK Ammerthal
1 : 2
Neudrossenfeld
25 Sept
Neudrossenfeld
2 : 2
DJK Don Bosco Bamberg
18 Sept
Cham
3 : 0
Neudrossenfeld
11 Sept
Neudrossenfeld
1 : 0
Bamberg
05 Sept
Grossbardorf
4 : 1
Neudrossenfeld
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)