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ATSV Salzburg vs UFV Thalgau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Salzburg
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Salzburg game between ATSV Salzburg and UFV Thalgau finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ATSV Salzburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
ATSV Salzburg
15%
Draws
36%
UFV Thalgau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ATSV Salzburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • UFV Thalgau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Salzburg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
ATSV Salzburg Clean Sheet 10%
UFV Thalgau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ATSV Salzburg UFV Thalgau
Matches Played 10 28
Wins 2 6
Draws 1 5
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.2 1.82
Goals Conceded 3.6 2.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Salzburg
ATSV Salzburg vs UFV Thalgau
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ATSV Salzburg 29 / 100
UFV Thalgau 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ATSV Salzburg UFV Thalgau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATSV Salzburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UFV Thalgau has conceded goals in 96% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

ATSV Salzburg's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Away concern: UFV Thalgau has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ATSV Salzburg VS UFV Thalgau
1 Goals Scored 1.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

ATSV Salzburg

(Home)
04 Oct
TSU Bramberg
4 : 4
ATSV Salzburg
27 Sept
ATSV Salzburg
2 : 3
Union Henndorf
19 Sept
Eugendorf
7 : 1
ATSV Salzburg
13 Sept
ATSV Salzburg
3 : 1
UFV Thalgau
04 Sept
SAK 1914
1 : 0
ATSV Salzburg
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UFV Thalgau

(Away)
04 Oct
SC Golling
1 : 2
UFV Thalgau
24 Sept
SAK 1914
2 : 0
UFV Thalgau
18 Sept
UFV Thalgau
1 : 3
Neumarkt
13 Sept
ATSV Salzburg
3 : 1
UFV Thalgau
08 Sept
Strasswalchen
5 : 0
UFV Thalgau
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