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Attard vs Lija

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
del Castilo C.
33'
del Castilo C.
33'
del Castilo C.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2023/2024 game between Attard and Lija finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Attard
30%
Draws
41%
Lija
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lija come out ahead of Attard on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Challenge League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Attard Clean Sheet 10%
Lija Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Attard Lija
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.17 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Challenge League
Lija vs Attard
0:2
Dec 17, 2023 Challenge League
Attard vs Lija
2:3
Mar 12, 2023 Challenge League
Attard vs Lija
1:1
Oct 22, 2022 Challenge League
Lija vs Attard
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Attard Compare

Top Goalscorer del Castilo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farrugia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Lija Compare

Top Goalscorer Muscat L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Micallef M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Attard 29 / 100
Lija 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Attard Lija

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Attard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lija's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Attard found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Attard remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Attard VS Lija
1.67 Goals Scored 1.13
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Attard

(Home)
20 Sept
Tarxien
3 : 1
Attard
12 Sept
Attard
3 : 3
Swieqi
12 Jan
Fgura
3 : 1
Attard
26 Apr
Msida
1 : 1
Attard
20 Apr
Attard
1 : 0
Tarxien
Page 1 of 6

Lija

(Away)
19 Apr
Lija
0 : 6
Valletta
12 Apr
Lija
3 : 0
Zebbug
06 Apr
Senglea
1 : 1
Lija
29 Mar
Lija
2 : 3
Fgura
08 Mar
Gudja
0 : 1
Lija
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zabbar 15 10 3 2 21:9 33
2 Melita 15 9 4 2 32:21 31
3 Senglea 15 8 5 2 20:9 29
4 Marsa 15 8 4 3 32:17 28
5 Pieta 15 8 3 4 23:13 27
6 Zurrieq 15 8 3 4 18:17 27
7 Fgura 15 8 2 5 32:25 26
8 Lija 15 6 4 5 26:24 22
9 Swieqi 15 5 6 4 18:16 21
10 Tarxien 15 3 8 4 16:14 17
11 Zejtun 15 4 5 6 17:18 17
12 Luqa 15 4 4 7 21:24 16
13 St. Andrews 15 3 2 10 14:28 11
14 Zebbug 15 2 4 9 11:27 10
15 Attard 15 1 5 9 14:33 8
16 Msida 15 2 0 13 9:29 6
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)